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A C Harper's avatar

I'm going to smush several ideas into one...

I'm reminded of the theory of Cliodynamics (Peter Turchin) where one Elite holds power for several decades until it loses it's grasp on society, and then society undergoes a period of chaos until a new Elite emerges. One of the reasons that the Old Elite loses its grasp is the overproduction of Elite children as time wears on. All these bright eyed young things want Elite jobs/occupations/professions but there are not enough to satisfy their demand, so chaos kicks off in the scramble.

Similarly there's the theory of Institutionalism The institutionalist theory focuses on the impact of the institutions over the human behaviour and the behavioural outcomes they generate. The main actor of the institutionalist theory, the institutions, is defined as a set of formal and informal rules that guide the behaviour of its members. Perhaps all the Institutions are a natural magnet for all the Elite children seeking 'suitable' jobs?

And perhaps as the Old Elite decays and their children occupy the Institutions, the Elite expectations of acceptable behaviour wander away from 'regular life' in an increasingly Kafka-esque way.

Something new has to arise, and yes, war has often been the midwife to the new social order. There's no guarantee that victory will deliver an improvement over the last social order, but 'something has to give'.

I would like to think, would hope to think, that instead of a new danger-filled World War some less destructive solution to replacing the old Elite is available. I do not believe that the political ideas of 'de-growth' or 'Net Zero' offer a pleasant method - too much would be given up for the new Elites (and hence everybody else) to find recognition.

My suggestion is that we launch the idea of 'de-cluttering' Government. After 70 or so years of Government there must be plenty of over-staffed and unnecessary 'institutions'; it is in the nature of institutions to swell their size and ambit. So set all the would-be Elite the task of thinning things out. That will give them a 'noble' task and recognition without sending their minions to the battlefield.

Governments in the Western World appear to be ripe for such a re-appraisal. We just have to persuade them that lording it over ashes and rubble is no longer acceptable.

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Asa Boxer's avatar

Speculations here have become metaphysical. I feel some resonance with the idea of the will to incorporation, an all-devouring instinct that we've discussed before. 'If only we were all alike in our beliefs, in acknowledging the one true Truth' seems to be the prevailing mood. There are so many creative ways by which we reach this end: all forms of purging, including war, are on the table. No doubt, we are already in the midst of a war of ideas, giving rise to all manner of extremist stances, none of which are appealing. Unfortunately, what gets lost in the tussle are the generally shared values, but perhaps most importantly, the deeper questions about how we live, especially the warping of social behaviour in the industrialist dispensation, which is making folks confused and miserable. I think the societal restless we're seeing has everything to do with that, and yet not many are really questioning this specific bottom line. For instance, job creation is thought to be a basic political and social good... but what kind of jobs? If we're talking about repetitive, unfulfilling work, or meaningless, empty work, that's just not enough. Add tons of money to some of those truly enervating, meaningless jobs and you get the sort of restlessness and feelings of end times so many are experiencing without knowing why. The death wish sets in. Folks become desperate, seeking meaning, excitement, belonging... all things that the industrialist dispensation robs us of.

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